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Red67
552522.4
959411.7
696311.4
Blue28
610020.5
71099.2
96615.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49300204060806728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.0
18.719.7
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 2.0
6100
#13
20.50.1
14.714.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Second
9594
#23
11.71.0
12.413.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
red by 2.4
7109
#27
9.20.1
8.28.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Third
6963
#21
11.41.0
10.811.8
Auto6.9
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 5.5
9661
#38
5.90.1
6.86.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed