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Red45
439814.9
828622.7
523412.0
Blue47
921518.8
523110.7
654823.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426020801004547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.3
19.019.3
Auto10.0
Teleop11.2
End1.6
blue by 0.9
6548
#17
23.60.4
24.624.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End2.4
Second
4398
#29
14.90.3
13.513.8
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End2.4
blue by 3.9
9215
#19
18.80.4
16.115.7
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Third
5234
#35
12.00.3
7.67.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End2.4
red by 1.3
5231
#32
10.70.4
11.811.5
Auto6.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed