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Red48
716016.5
499413.2
483514.1
Blue64
439225.3
51627.7
90412.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4747303540505560654864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#31
16.50.2
17.017.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 8.8
25.31.4
22.624.0
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Second
4835
#10
14.10.2
12.212.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
red by 2.0
904
#14
12.11.4
10.812.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Third
4994
#20
13.20.2
13.313.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.5
red by 5.5
5162
#24
7.71.4
8.910.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed