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Red13
65335.7
96656.0
716016.5
Blue49
828622.7
148123.0
51627.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34530204060801001349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#31
16.51.6
18.817.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 6.5
1481
#11
23.00.2
22.522.7
Auto11.3
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Second
9665
#33
6.01.3
7.05.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 16.7
22.70.2
16.716.9
Auto10.0
Teleop11.2
End1.6
Third
6533
#36
5.71.3
7.15.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 2.0
5162
#24
7.70.2
6.66.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed