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Red64
240520.3
959411.7
550526.5
Blue49
233731.0
439814.9
917623.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4865204060801006449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.9
18.719.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End3.2
blue by 4.4
31.00.6
22.722.1
Auto14.2
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Second
20.30.9
16.717.6
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 3.4
9176
#15
23.70.6
19.118.5
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End0.6
Third
9594
#23
11.70.9
10.311.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 3.2
4398
#29
14.90.5
14.814.3
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed