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Red35
96615.9
654823.6
150219.8
Blue79
610020.5
921518.8
776822.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54593040507080903579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#17
23.61.0
24.523.6
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End2.4
red by 1.2
22.41.7
21.022.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Second
19.81.0
17.616.7
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 0.7
6100
#13
20.51.7
17.018.8
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1
Third
9661
#38
5.91.0
7.46.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 12.9
9215
#19
18.81.7
14.716.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed