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Red37
499413.2
95418.7
240520.3
Blue43
483514.1
71099.2
498318.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50432030607080903743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.5
20.720.3
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 2.3
4983
#16
18.00.2
17.317.5
Auto8.3
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Second
4994
#20
13.20.5
14.313.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End2.5
blue by 1.0
4835
#10
14.10.2
13.013.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Third
9541
#22
8.70.5
9.08.5
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.1
blue by 0.5
7109
#27
9.20.2
9.49.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed