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Red38
96656.0
51627.7
552522.4
Blue65
917623.7
96729.3
90412.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424802060801003865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.0
22.322.3
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 1.3
9176
#15
23.70.5
22.022.5
Auto10.2
Teleop12.9
End0.6
Second
5162
#24
7.70.0
9.19.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.1
End0.3
blue by 4.4
904
#14
12.10.5
11.812.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Third
9665
#33
6.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 3.3
9.30.5
8.99.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned