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Red71
722626.4
828622.7
654823.6
Blue64
556011.6
439225.3
150219.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81532040601001207164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#12
26.40.2
24.924.6
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.0
red by 1.1
25.30.9
22.523.4
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
Second
6548
#17
23.60.2
23.623.3
Auto9.2
Teleop12.1
End2.4
red by 3.9
19.80.9
16.717.5
Auto8.9
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Third
22.70.2
21.821.6
Auto10.0
Teleop11.2
End1.6
red by 11.1
5560
#28
11.60.9
11.812.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed