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Red39
959411.7
43828.3
716016.5
Blue48
523110.7
782618.6
522914.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43441020305060703948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7160
#31
16.50.0
17.517.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 2.1
7826
#18
18.60.5
16.316.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Second
9594
#23
11.70.0
12.212.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 2.4
5229
#30
14.10.5
13.413.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Third
4382
#37
8.30.0
9.39.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 2.4
5231
#32
10.70.5
10.110.6
Auto6.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed