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Red59
696311.4
610020.5
148123.0
Blue67
921518.8
233731.0
97547.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61562040801005967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#11
23.00.3
24.324.6
Auto11.3
Teleop9.8
End1.9
blue by 7.9
31.01.0
28.729.8
Auto14.2
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Second
6100
#13
20.50.3
18.819.1
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End2.1
red by 1.7
9215
#19
18.81.0
16.517.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Third
6963
#21
11.40.3
11.511.8
Auto6.9
Teleop4.0
End0.5
red by 4.4
9754
#40
7.01.0
6.37.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed