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Red59
498318.0
722626.4
523110.7
Blue33
716016.5
482710.0
148123.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58592040801005933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#12
26.40.1
24.624.7
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.0
red by 3.4
1481
#11
23.01.4
24.623.2
Auto11.3
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Second
4983
#16
18.00.1
17.517.6
Auto8.3
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 1.5
7160
#31
16.51.4
17.516.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Third
5231
#32
10.70.1
10.610.7
Auto6.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
red by 0.8
4827
#26
10.01.4
11.310.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed