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Red63
96729.3
782618.6
439225.3
Blue58
522914.1
523412.0
233731.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54603040507080906358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.2
23.423.6
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
blue by 5.6
31.00.1
29.829.9
Auto14.2
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Second
7826
#18
18.60.2
16.917.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 4.5
5229
#30
14.10.1
13.914.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Third
9.30.2
9.49.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.1
blue by 2.7
5234
#35
12.00.1
10.110.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed