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Red76
552522.4
776822.4
522914.1
Blue52
498318.0
483514.1
716016.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6750204060801001207652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.1
22.522.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 4.5
4983
#16
18.00.1
17.617.7
Auto8.3
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Second
22.40.1
22.422.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End1.2
red by 5.9
7160
#31
16.50.1
16.116.2
Auto6.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Third
5229
#30
14.10.1
14.114.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 0.1
4835
#10
14.10.1
13.813.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End0.7