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Red75
439225.3
722626.4
523412.0
Blue67
148123.0
240520.3
439814.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656545505560707580857567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#12
26.40.3
24.725.0
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.0
red by 3.4
1481
#11
23.00.0
23.223.2
Auto11.3
Teleop9.8
End1.9
Second
25.30.3
23.623.9
Auto13.4
Teleop10.9
End1.0
red by 5.0
20.30.0
20.520.5
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Third
5234
#35
12.00.3
10.310.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 2.9
4398
#29
14.90.0
15.015.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End2.4