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Red55
97545.3
516718.5
54707.8
Blue21
34589.2
97569.2
610010.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30450204060805521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#13
18.51.0
16.918.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.2
red by 8.1
6100
#31
10.42.2
11.59.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Second
5470
#25
7.81.7
7.79.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
blue by 1.4
3458
#20
9.22.2
13.811.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Third
9754
#21
5.31.0
4.75.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 3.8
9756
#30
9.22.2
13.811.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed