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Red64
102531.5
91023.8
964815.4
Blue39
760212.6
97428.7
240516.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66310204060801006439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.2
27.427.2
Auto12.9
Teleop14.5
End4.1
red by 14.7
2405
#22
16.70.8
12.012.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Second
910
#7
23.80.4
17.016.7
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End0.5
red by 11.3
7602
#33
12.60.5
11.712.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End0.4
Third
9648
#18
15.40.2
10.910.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 6.7
9742
#32
8.70.8
8.29.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed