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Red41
750119.9
97545.3
51626.6
Blue7
92237.7
92486.2
43374.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3427010204050607080417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.4
15.916.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End0.4
red by 12.2
9223
#27
7.72.3
9.37.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Second
5162
#28
6.60.7
8.28.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End0.6
red by 0.4
9248
#39
6.22.3
8.46.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Third
9754
#21
5.30.4
5.76.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.6
red by 1.2
4337
#38
4.11.4
7.76.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed