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Red41
60948.8
277118.0
922510.3
Blue56
34589.2
8527.5
964815.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32510204060804156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#11
18.00.8
17.818.6
Auto9.0
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 9.4
85
#6
27.50.2
21.922.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
9225
#16
10.30.5
7.88.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.1
blue by 5.1
9648
#18
15.40.1
10.710.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Third
6094
#40
8.80.8
5.86.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 0.4
3458
#20
9.20.2
11.611.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed