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Red42
438124.8
610010.4
959410.3
Blue37
240516.7
79118.4
445312.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43340102030506070804237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.3
18.418.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End1.8
red by 8.1
2405
#22
16.70.0
12.812.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Second
6100
#31
10.40.5
9.39.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 2.0
4453
#17
12.40.0
10.810.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Third
9594
#10
10.30.5
9.910.4
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.4
red by 1.9
7911
#36
8.40.0
8.28.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed