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Red68
97428.7
353827.3
516718.5
Blue49
400421.4
78102.0
609023.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020801001206849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.6
21.322.0
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 3.8
23.50.8
20.321.1
Auto11.1
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
5167
#13
18.50.6
18.018.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.2
blue by 2.9
4004
#14
21.40.8
14.915.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Third
9742
#32
8.71.1
9.010.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.6
red by 6.7
7810
#37
2.00.5
1.52.0
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed