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Red44
964815.4
78102.0
240516.7
Blue58
102531.5
68776.0
50319.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227204060801001204458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#22
16.70.9
12.913.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 14.7
31.50.4
28.628.2
Auto12.9
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Second
9648
#18
15.40.6
10.811.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 4.2
503
#19
19.60.4
24.724.3
Auto6.3
Teleop12.3
End1.1
Third
7810
#37
2.00.6
2.02.6
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End0.8
blue by 4.0
6877
#34
6.00.7
5.85.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed