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Red51
612810.6
400421.4
861221.0
Blue67
91068.3
8527.5
91023.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47484045505560655167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#14
21.40.2
15.715.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End1.3
blue by 6.1
85
#6
27.51.5
22.123.6
Auto11.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
8612
#12
21.00.1
17.817.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End1.2
blue by 2.8
910
#7
23.81.5
15.517.0
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End0.5
Third
6128
#26
10.60.2
8.89.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.3
red by 2.2
9106
#15
8.30.9
5.66.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed