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Red35
515231.5
54707.8
34589.2
Blue31
353827.3
828513.3
51626.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554420304050607080901003531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.9
28.627.7
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End3.2
red by 4.2
27.30.7
22.021.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Second
3458
#20
9.21.5
11.810.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End0.7
blue by 4.1
8285
#23
13.31.2
10.59.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Third
5470
#25
7.81.5
8.06.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
red by 1.2
5162
#28
6.61.2
8.97.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed