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Red54
400421.4
828513.3
964815.4
Blue76
353827.3
240516.7
750119.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3860020801005476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#14
21.41.9
15.917.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End1.3
blue by 5.9
27.31.0
21.322.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Second
9648
#18
15.41.2
11.412.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 4.5
19.91.0
16.217.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End0.4
Third
8285
#23
13.31.9
9.411.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End1.4
blue by 3.4
2405
#22
16.71.6
13.815.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed