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Red45
60948.8
516718.5
600512.0
Blue68
91023.8
72568.8
515231.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762020801004568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#13
18.50.6
18.719.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.2
blue by 13.0
31.50.7
27.728.3
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End3.2
Second
6005
#29
12.00.6
8.79.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 11.8
910
#7
23.81.1
17.018.1
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End0.5
Third
6094
#40
8.81.0
9.110.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Level
7256
#35
8.80.7
8.39.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed