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Red72
959410.3
97545.3
8527.5
Blue34
97428.7
750119.9
72568.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4436102030405060707234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#6
27.50.9
23.224.1
Auto11.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
red by 7.6
19.90.1
17.217.3
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End0.4
Second
9594
#10
10.30.9
9.710.6
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.4
red by 1.5
7256
#35
8.80.1
9.09.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Third
9754
#21
5.30.6
5.86.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.6
blue by 3.4
9742
#32
8.70.1
7.07.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed