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Red48
964815.4
600512.0
64289.4
Blue64
357227.4
91023.8
516718.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257204060801001204864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9648
#18
15.41.0
12.513.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 12.0
27.40.5
22.322.8
Auto12.3
Teleop13.0
End2.1
Second
6005
#29
12.01.0
9.210.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 11.8
910
#7
23.80.5
18.118.6
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End0.5
Third
6428
#24
9.41.7
6.17.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 9.1
5167
#13
18.50.3
19.319.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed