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Red76
353827.3
102531.5
922510.3
Blue39
609023.5
92486.2
60948.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714002060801001207639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.4
29.329.6
Auto12.9
Teleop14.5
End4.1
red by 8.0
23.50.7
23.122.5
Auto11.1
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
27.30.4
22.322.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 18.5
6094
#40
8.80.7
10.09.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Third
9225
#16
10.30.4
9.09.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.1
red by 4.1
9248
#39
6.20.7
6.76.1
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed