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Red47
240516.7
43374.1
400421.4
Blue68
760212.6
612810.6
515231.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415402060801004768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#14
21.40.9
17.618.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End1.3
blue by 10.1
31.51.1
28.329.4
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End3.2
Second
2405
#22
16.71.0
15.416.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 4.2
7602
#33
12.61.1
12.113.2
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End0.4
Third
4337
#38
4.10.6
5.35.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 6.4
6128
#26
10.61.8
6.68.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed