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Red83
97569.2
8527.5
515231.5
Blue23
964815.4
92237.7
97428.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582902040808323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.52.3
23.926.2
Auto9.7
Teleop18.6
End3.2
red by 16.1
9648
#18
15.40.8
11.911.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Second
85
#6
27.53.8
16.119.9
Auto11.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
red by 18.7
9742
#32
8.73.3
11.17.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Third
9756
#30
9.21.1
11.812.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 1.5
9223
#27
7.71.3
8.97.6
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed