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Red48
78102.0
922510.3
357227.4
Blue38
54707.8
353827.3
79118.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2144060801004838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.42.7
15.618.2
Auto12.3
Teleop13.0
End2.1
red by 0.1
27.30.6
19.518.9
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Second
9225
#16
10.31.6
6.07.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.1
red by 1.9
7911
#36
8.41.0
8.87.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Third
7810
#37
2.01.6
0.52.1
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End0.8
blue by 5.8
5470
#25
7.81.0
8.77.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed