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Red27
609023.5
610010.4
50319.6
Blue56
600512.0
43374.1
353827.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634020801002756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.52.8
22.519.6
Auto11.1
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 3.8
27.30.7
22.623.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Second
503
#19
19.61.8
21.920.0
Auto6.3
Teleop12.3
End1.1
red by 7.6
6005
#29
12.00.7
10.210.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Third
6100
#31
10.42.8
10.17.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.7
red by 6.3
4337
#38
4.10.7
5.96.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed