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Red53
760212.6
964815.4
51626.6
Blue62
8527.5
64289.4
445312.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32520204060805362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9648
#18
15.41.1
13.414.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 12.1
85
#6
27.51.8
24.125.9
Auto11.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
7602
#33
12.61.1
13.214.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End0.4
red by 0.2
4453
#17
12.41.1
11.312.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Third
5162
#28
6.61.7
5.06.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End0.6
blue by 2.8
6428
#24
9.41.6
9.711.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed