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Red64
68776.0
91023.8
750119.9
Blue56
610010.4
277118.0
353827.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4457020801006456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#7
23.81.7
20.121.8
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End0.5
blue by 3.5
27.30.3
23.323.0
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Second
19.91.2
18.119.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End0.4
red by 1.9
2771
#11
18.00.4
19.719.3
Auto9.0
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
6877
#34
6.01.7
3.14.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End1.5
blue by 4.4
6100
#31
10.40.4
7.36.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned