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Red36
72568.8
828513.3
612810.6
Blue76
54707.8
438124.8
609023.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325602040803676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8285
#23
13.30.4
12.813.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End1.4
blue by 11.5
24.81.9
22.524.4
Auto7.6
Teleop15.5
End1.8
Second
6128
#26
10.60.4
9.910.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.1
End1.3
blue by 12.9
23.52.7
19.622.3
Auto11.1
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Third
7256
#35
8.80.3
9.09.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End0.6
red by 1.0
5470
#25
7.82.7
5.88.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed