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Red80
609023.5
240516.7
357227.4
Blue46
400421.4
97569.2
92237.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions783402040601001208046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.4
26.426.0
Auto12.3
Teleop13.0
End2.1
red by 6.0
4004
#14
21.40.8
20.120.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Second
23.50.4
23.523.1
Auto11.1
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 14.3
9756
#30
9.20.8
8.18.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
2405
#22
16.70.4
15.314.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 9.1
9223
#27
7.70.8
7.78.5
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed