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Red53
51626.6
102531.5
79118.4
Blue49
92486.2
91023.8
54707.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340204060801005349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.5
30.330.8
Auto12.9
Teleop14.5
End4.1
red by 7.7
910
#7
23.80.5
20.921.4
Auto10.4
Teleop12.9
End0.5
Second
7911
#36
8.40.6
8.69.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
red by 0.6
5470
#25
7.80.5
7.37.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
Third
5162
#28
6.60.6
6.47.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End0.6
red by 0.4
9248
#39
6.20.5
4.95.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed