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Red71
353827.3
861221.0
78102.0
Blue20
64289.4
43374.1
516718.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513702060801007120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.8
24.726.5
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 8.8
5167
#13
18.51.0
19.618.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.2
End3.2
Second
8612
#12
21.01.8
19.020.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End1.2
red by 11.5
6428
#24
9.41.3
10.59.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Third
7810
#37
2.01.8
0.42.2
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End0.8
blue by 2.1
4337
#38
4.11.0
5.44.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed