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Red50
959410.3
91068.3
750119.9
Blue69
50319.6
357227.4
97428.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261020801005069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.0
20.520.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End0.4
blue by 7.5
27.40.5
26.026.4
Auto12.3
Teleop13.0
End2.1
Second
9594
#10
10.30.0
10.910.8
Auto2.1
Teleop6.8
End1.4
blue by 9.3
503
#19
19.60.4
19.519.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.3
End1.1
Third
9106
#15
8.30.0
9.19.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 0.4
9742
#32
8.70.5
7.27.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed