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Red39
8527.5
79118.4
92237.7
Blue57
600512.0
54707.8
102531.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495802040801003957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#6
27.50.8
27.326.5
Auto11.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
blue by 4.0
31.50.1
30.830.9
Auto12.9
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Second
7911
#36
8.40.8
9.28.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 3.6
6005
#29
12.00.1
12.512.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Third
9223
#27
7.70.8
8.57.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End0.8
blue by 0.2
5470
#25
7.80.1
7.87.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned