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Red60
492613.1
46924.3
222410.5
Blue70
24713.4
438123.4
353829.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518602040601001201401606070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#21
24.30.5
22.122.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
blue by 5.4
29.70.5
28.227.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Second
4926
#43
13.10.5
14.515.1
Auto8.7
Teleop1.6
End2.8
blue by 10.3
4381
#23
23.40.5
26.325.8
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Third
2224
#44
10.50.5
13.313.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 2.9
247
#31
13.40.5
18.818.3
Auto7.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed75%Ensemble oddsMissed