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Qual 152024 Rainbow Rumble
Red56
376728.5
44229.9
364127.0
Blue58
917620.8
317526.4
107633.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84900501502002503005658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#4
28.51.4
30.8→29.4
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 4.7
1076
#7
33.21.5
32.2→30.7
Auto10.1
Teleop21.7
End1.4
Second
3641
#18
27.01.4
28.5→27.1
Auto4.9
Teleop19.5
End2.6
red by 0.6
3175
#11
26.41.5
25.7→24.2
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End1.0
Third
4422
#35
9.91.4
17.6→16.2
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End0.8
blue by 10.8
9176
#15
20.81.5
23.0→21.5
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed