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Qual 162024 Rainbow Rumble
Red72
719714.9
3341.1
285124.5
Blue42
103818.9
150629.4
283213.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99750501502007242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
41.11.0
41.4→40.4
Auto12.3
Teleop25.9
End3.0
red by 11.7
1506
#3
29.41.9
33.3→31.4
Auto7.3
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Second
2851
#8
24.51.0
25.7→24.7
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End2.6
red by 5.6
1038
#16
18.91.9
22.6→20.7
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End4.4
Third
7197
#30
14.91.0
19.9→18.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.5
red by 1.6
2832
#32
13.21.9
14.8→12.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned81%Ensemble oddsMissed