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Red60
481017.3
365620.6
540634.4
Blue76
546038.8
571237.4
43840.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86920501502006076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.6
32.731.2
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
blue by 4.4
5460
#22
38.80.9
43.442.5
Auto13.2
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Second
3656
#27
20.61.6
28.627.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 16.8
37.40.9
39.939.0
Auto14.3
Teleop20.5
End2.6
Third
4810
#28
17.31.6
17.415.8
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.3
red by 16.5
4384
#40
0.80.9
-0.7-1.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
75%Ensemble oddsEarned66%Ensemble oddsMissed