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Red22
170131.4
4530.9
607818.8
Blue56
917620.8
168427.1
612014.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568201001502002502256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#12
31.42.1
30.828.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
red by 4.2
1684
#20
27.11.3
25.924.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End0.6
Second
6078
#26
18.82.1
20.618.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 2.0
9176
#15
20.81.3
24.323.0
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Third
453
#48
0.92.1
2.40.3
Auto3.5
Teleop-2.7
End0.0
blue by 13.7
6120
#38
14.51.3
20.619.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed