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Red60
721119.7
365620.6
776935.5
Blue50
22626.3
46924.3
84247.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112620501001502006050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#10
35.52.4
43.140.7
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.8
red by 9.2
226
#25
26.30.8
26.425.6
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.8
Second
3656
#27
20.62.4
33.330.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End2.0
blue by 3.8
469
#21
24.30.8
22.922.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.2
End2.0
Third
7211
#19
19.72.4
19.116.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End0.7
red by 12.2
8424
#47
7.40.8
12.511.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed