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Red46
170131.4
283421.0
68619.6
Blue57
776935.5
44229.9
24713.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67830501001502004657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#12
31.41.4
29.127.7
Auto11.5
Teleop18.8
End1.1
blue by 4.1
7769
#10
35.51.2
38.337.2
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Second
2834
#17
21.01.4
21.520.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End3.1
red by 7.6
247
#31
13.41.2
18.317.1
Auto7.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
Third
6861
#37
9.61.4
11.710.3
Auto5.6
Teleop2.0
End2.0
blue by 0.3
4422
#35
9.91.2
16.215.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed