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Qual 212024 Rainbow Rumble
Red49
376728.5
917620.8
56412.8
Blue75
3341.1
283213.2
612014.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64800501001504975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#4
28.50.9
29.4→28.6
Auto13.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 12.5
33
#2
41.10.2
40.4→40.2
Auto12.3
Teleop25.9
End3.0
Second
9176
#15
20.80.9
21.5→20.6
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
red by 6.2
6120
#38
14.50.2
17.2→17.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Third
5641
#36
2.80.9
9.1→8.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End-0.6
blue by 10.5
2832
#32
13.20.2
12.9→12.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed