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Red31
43840.8
4530.9
24713.4
Blue89
540634.4
776935.5
81832.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1127501001502003189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#31
13.40.2
17.117.3
Auto7.2
Teleop4.6
End1.6
blue by 22.0
7769
#10
35.51.1
37.236.1
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.8
Second
453
#48
0.90.2
0.10.3
Auto3.5
Teleop-2.7
End0.0
blue by 33.6
34.41.1
31.230.1
Auto10.5
Teleop19.4
End4.5
Third
4384
#40
0.80.2
-1.6-1.4
Auto2.5
Teleop-1.3
End-0.4
blue by 31.5
818
#9
32.31.1
31.830.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsMissed